Week 6 · 2026 · Thursday Night Football
SEA @ DEN
Line: Westgate DEN +2.5 SEA −2.5
Consensus: 3-2 Denver. Game handicap →
| Picker | Pick | Score | Confidence | Handicap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ DENThu 10/15 · 5:15 PM PT · Final: DEN 17, SEA 14 | ||||
| Vector | DEN +2.5 WIN | DEN slight fav (fair line DEN −0.2) | Best-bet candidate | Vector has Denver a hair better at home even after charging Surtain and Hufanga in full. Getting 2.5 in a short-week Thursday game is about 2.3 points of value, and Seattle loses LB Drake Thomas. |
| Claude | DEN +2.5 WIN | DEN 21, SEA 20 | Low | Denver's injured corners force more zone, which Darnold likes, but Denver's interior line limits Seattle's four-man rush, and Darnold holds the ball long against a front that gets sacks. A low total makes the points more valuable to the dog. Smith-Njigba's status is the swing. |
| Grok | DEN +2.5 WIN | SEA 20, DEN 17 | Medium | Seattle's offense was poor last week, and now it's on a short week, on the road, at altitude. Seattle may be the better team, but laying 2.5 here is the wrong side of a small number. |
| ChatGPT | SEA −2.5 LOSS | SEA 24, DEN 21 | Medium-low | Denver's missing secondary gives Seattle its biggest passing edge. Denver's pass protection and home field keep it close; a 1-unit play at most. |
| Gemini | SEA −2.5 LOSS | SEA 24, DEN 17 | High | Losing Surtain and Hufanga (with Moss banged up) wrecks Denver's man coverage, and a limited Bo Nix on a short week struggles to sustain drives against Seattle's pressure. |
Entertainment only.
Week 5 · 2026 · AI vs AI
AI Picks
Same prompt, four AIs, and us. Entertainment only. Graded on Westgate SuperContest lines.
Received Thu Oct 8, 2026, ~6:33-6:38 PM PT. Locked Thursday Oct 8, 2026, 7:31 AM PT, before Thursday Night Football kickoff. Claude locked DAL -8.5 before kickoff. Gemini, ChatGPT, and Grok submitted TB @ DAL after kickoff. Finished games are graded at the Westgate line. Running Week 5 records: Vector 8-6-1; Vector best bets 3-2 (TB W, PHI W, GB W, NO L, IND L; LAC +3.5 lost as a card side, not a Best Bet; NE is not a Best Bet); Claude 8-6-1; ChatGPT 6-8-1; Gemini 9-5-1; Grok 8-6-1. Week 5 is complete. Updated Fri 10/9: NE -3.5 stays the side and is a regular pick, not a Best Bet. Patriots ruled out CB Christian Gonzalez, CB Carlton Davis III, CB Karon Prunty, CB Channing Canada, and WR Mack Hollins. Updated Fri 10/9: Chargers' ruled-out players were mostly already priced in; LAC +3.5 restored as a regular pick. WAS and BAL are Provisional and Hold, confirmed Friday/Saturday.
Game by game: Claude vs Gemini vs Grok vs ChatGPT, plus Vector
Each side is graded at the line that entrant listed. Vector is Super Agent Vector, ours, with a side on every game. Yellow means the side covered. Pushes are not highlighted. Final scores are from ESPN, and games that are not final are not graded.
| Game | Westgate | Claude | Gemini | Grok | ChatGPT | Vectorours |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB @ DALThu 10/08Final: TB 24, DAL 16 | DAL −8.5 | DAL −8.5 LOSS | TB +8.5 WIN submitted after kickoff Gemini tried to switch to DAL after kickoff; original pick stands. | TB +8.5 WIN submitted after kickoff Grok tried to switch to DAL after kickoff; original pick stands. | TB +8.5 WIN submitted after kickoff | TB +8.5 WIN Best Bet |
| PHI @ JAX (London)Sun 10/11Final: PHI 17, JAX 19 | JAX −7.5 | PHI +7.5 WIN | JAX −7.5 LOSS | JAX −7.5 LOSS | PHI +7.5 WIN | PHI +7.5 WIN Best Bet |
| CHI @ GBSun 10/11Final: CHI 7, GB 31 | GB +3 | GB +3 WIN | GB +3 WIN | GB +3 WIN | GB +3 WIN | GB +3 WIN Best Bet |
| HOU @ TENSun 10/11Final: HOU 26, TEN 3 | TEN +7.5 | TEN +7.5 LOSS | HOU −7.5 WIN | HOU −7.5 WIN | HOU −7.5 WIN | TEN +7.5 LOSS |
| CIN @ MIASun 10/11Final: CIN 31, MIA 24 | CIN −7 | CIN −7 PUSH | CIN −7 PUSH | CIN −7 PUSH | CIN −7 PUSH | CIN −7 PUSH |
| LV @ NESun 10/11Final: LV 17, NE 45 | NE −3.5 | NE −3.5 WIN | NE −3.5 WIN | NE −3.5 WIN | NE −3.5 WIN | NE −3.5 WIN Updated Fri 10/9 |
| MIN @ NOSun 10/11Final: MIN 23, NO 13 | NO +2.5 | NO +2.5 LOSS | MIN −2.5 WIN | MIN −2.5 WIN | NO +2.5 LOSS | NO +2.5 LOSS Best Bet |
| CLE @ NYJSun 10/11Final: CLE 12, NYJ 17 | NYJ −2.5 | NYJ −2.5 WIN | NYJ −2.5 WIN | NYJ −2.5 WIN | CLE +2.5 LOSS | NYJ −2.5 WIN |
| IND @ PITSun 10/11Final: IND 22, PIT 34 | PIT −2.5 | IND +2.5 LOSS | PIT −2.5 WIN | IND +2.5 LOSS | IND +2.5 LOSS | IND +2.5 LOSS Best Bet |
| NYG @ WASSun 10/11Final: NYG 27, WAS 27 | WAS −3.5 | WAS −3.5 LOSS | WAS −3.5 LOSS | WAS −3.5 LOSS | WAS −3.5 LOSS | WAS −3.5 LOSS Provisional (QB status Fri) |
| DEN @ LACSun 10/11Final: DEN 23, LAC 17 | LAC +3.5 | LAC +3.5 LOSS | LAC +3.5 LOSS | LAC +3.5 LOSS | LAC +3.5 LOSS | LAC +3.5 LOSS Updated Fri 10/9: Chargers' ruled-out players were mostly already priced in; LAC +3.5 restored as a regular pick. |
| DET @ ARISun 10/11Final: DET 45, ARI 21 | ARI +5.5 | DET −5.5 WIN | DET −5.5 WIN | DET −5.5 WIN | ARI +5.5 LOSS | ARI +5.5 LOSS |
| SF @ SEASun 10/11Final: SF 32, SEA 29 | SEA −3 | SF +3 WIN | SF +3 WIN | SF +3 WIN | SF +3 WIN | SF +3 WIN |
| BAL @ ATLSun 10/11Final: BAL 30, ATL 23 | BAL +3.5 | BAL +3.5 WIN | ATL −3.5 LOSS | ATL −3.5 LOSS | ATL −3.5 LOSS | BAL +3.5 WIN Hold (Lamar status) |
| BUF @ LARMon 10/12Final: BUF 37, LAR 34 | LAR −3 | BUF +3 WIN | LAR −3 LOSS | LAR −3 LOSS | LAR −3 LOSS | BUF +3 WIN |
Lines: Westgate SuperContest Week 5 card
Claude
Received Thu Oct 8, 2026 ~6:33-6:38 PM PT
Best bets
- NE −3.5 2U WIN
- GB +3 2U WIN
- SF +3 1U WIN
- LAC +3.5 1U LOSS
- BAL +3.5 1U WIN
Pick 5
- NE −3.5 WIN
- GB +3 WIN
- SF +3 WIN
- LAC +3.5 LOSS
- BAL +3.5 WIN
Tiebreaker: 47
Gemini
Received Thu Oct 8, 2026 ~6:33-6:38 PM PT. Gemini revised Thu 10/8 7 PM PT
Best bets
- SF +3 3U WIN
- NE −3.5 2.5U WIN
- HOU −7.5 2U WIN
Pick 5
- SF +3 WIN
- NE −3.5 WIN
- HOU −7.5 WIN
- LAC +3.5 LOSS
- JAX −7.5 LOSS
Tiebreaker: Under 47.5 (projected LAR 24, BUF 20)
Grok
Received Thu Oct 8, 2026 ~6:33-6:38 PM PT. Grok revised Thu 10/8 7 PM PT
Best bets
- SF +3 2.5U WIN
- CIN −7 2U PUSH
- HOU −7.5 2U WIN
- LAC +3.5 1.5U LOSS
- GB +3 1U WIN
- TB +8.5 1U WIN
Pick 5
- SF +3 WIN
- CIN −7 PUSH
- HOU −7.5 WIN
- LAC +3.5 LOSS
- LAR −3 LOSS
Tiebreaker: 47
ChatGPT
Received Thu Oct 8, 2026 ~6:33-6:38 PM PT. ChatGPT revised Thu 10/8 7 PM PT
Best bets
- GB +3 2U WIN
- ATL −3.5 1.5U LOSS
- HOU −7.5 1.5U WIN
Pick 5
- GB +3 WIN
- ATL −3.5 LOSS
- HOU −7.5 WIN
- LAC +3.5 LOSS
- LAR −3 LOSS
Tiebreaker: 47
Vector
Super Agent Vector · ours
Best bets
- TB +8.5 TB @ DAL WIN
- PHI +7.5 PHI @ JAX (London) WIN
- GB +3 CHI @ GB WIN
- NO +2.5 MIN @ NO LOSS
- IND +2.5 IND @ PIT LOSS
Our model, not a chatbot entry. No pick 5.
Not an AI chatbot entry · our own model
Super Agent Vector
Vector's own Week 5 card from our model, kept separate from the four chatbots. Full numbers on the Weekly Card.
Best Bet Best Bets
- TB +8.5 TB @ DAL WIN
- PHI +7.5 PHI @ JAX (London) WIN
- GB +3 CHI @ GB WIN
- NO +2.5 MIN @ NO LOSS
- IND +2.5 IND @ PIT LOSS
Flags
- WAS −3.5 NYG @ WAS · Provisional (QB status Fri) LOSS
- BAL +3.5 BAL @ ATL · Hold (Lamar status) WIN
Confirmed Friday/Saturday.
Season Scoreboard
The AIs
| Entrant | Sides W-L-P | Best-bet units | Pick 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 27-18-1 | +9U | 12-3-0 |
| Gemini | 20-25-1 | +2U | 7-8-0 |
| Grok | 19-26-1 | +3.5U | 6-8-1 |
| ChatGPT | 21-24-1 | −1.75U | 5-10-0 |
Super Agent Vector (ours, not an AI chatbot entry)
| Entrant | Sides W-L-P | Best-bet units | Pick 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Agent Vector (ours) | 23-13-1 | +4.5U | 3-2-0 |
Vector sides are every game on a week that publishes a full side map, and Best Bets plus Leans on earlier weeks. Best-bet units use the stated size, or flat 1U when none is stated. Pick 5 counts when Vector published one.
Entertainment and opinion only. Nothing here is betting advice.